ข่าวแจ้งตลาดหลักทรัพย์
16 พฤศจิกายน 2550
) Reformat Opinion of IFA regarding investment in TBC
Beer Thai (1991) Public Co., Ltd. Beer
Cosmos Brewery Company Limited Beer
Thai Asia Pacific Brewery Co., Ltd. Beer
San Miguel Beer (Thailand) Co., Ltd. Beer
2. Exported Customers
Company Country
F&N CC Beverage Sdn. Bhd. Malaysia
Cambrew Ltd. Cambodia
Angkor Beverage Co., Ltd. Cambodia
United Breweries Ltd. India
Capacity and Capacity Expansion in the Future
At present, there are two main categories of machine which are a can
manufacturing line with the maximum capacity of 900 million cans per year and
an end manufacturing line with the maximum capacity of 1,585 million ends per
year.
In 2007, the installation of the second can line will be completed and
the manufacturing will commence in 2008. The second can line will help
de-bottle neck the manufacturing process and enhance the product lines. The
maximum capacity of can lines will increase to 1,200 million cans per year.
The investment cost of the second can line is approximately 720 million baht.
In 2011, TBC plans a further capacity expansion in can line of 200 million
cans per year to reach a targeted capacity of 1,400 million cans per year
with the investment cost of USD 2 million.
22
List of Shareholders
List of shareholders of TBC as of September 26th, 2007
Number of
Name Shares (Shares) %
Group of Ball Corporation
Ball South East Asia Holding Company
Limited 6.67 6.67
Group of Police General Pow Sarasin
Police General Pow Sarasin 1.33 1.33
Group of Chayavivatkul Family
Mr. Montree Chayavivatkul 12.00 12.00
Mr. Sathit Chayavivatkul 10.00 10.00
Mr. Saroj Chayavivatkul 10.00 10.00
Mr. Sakon Chayavivatkul 5.00 5.00
Ms. Saovaluk Chayavivatkul 5.00 5.00
Group of Companies under TCC
Holding
Songvard Riverside Company Limited 26.00 26.00
T.C.C. Industrial Park Company
Limited 11.50 11.50
Surasate Company Limited 7.70 7.70
Charoen Wannasilp Company Limited 4.80 4.80
Total 100.00 100.00
Ball Corporation supplies technology for manufacturing process while
The Chayavivatkul, are the founder and the key man, and TCC Holding Company
Limited is a strategic partner.
23
Industry Overview
Food and beverage packages in Thailand are made of various types of
raw materials i.e. plastic, glass, paper, and metal. Metal packages,
especially iron and aluminum cans,have been on a growing trend and competes
directly with plastic packages. Aluminum cans are better than iron cans in
that it is light in weights and does not oxidize, easy for transportation, and
preserve the quality of tastes.
There are a few players in aluminum can industry in Thailand i.e.
Bangkok Can Manufacturing Company Limited, who is the rank first among
aluminum can maker in Thailand, Thai Beverage Can Company Limited, who is
rank second of can maker, and Crown Bevcan and Closures (Thailand) Company
Limited. Customers of aluminum can manufacturers are major beverage firms
such as beer and soft drink since aluminum is resilient to acid and pressure.
Growth in aluminum can industry, therefore, depends on growth of beverage
industry.
Research Center of Krung Thai Bank forecasted a 4.4% growth rate of
beer production volume in 2006. Thai Health Promotion Foundation, indicated
that an excise tax rate adjustment on August 28th, 2007 caused the excise tax
on distilled liquor to increase by 9-12 baht per bottle. Meanwhile, beer,
wine, and spy cooler are better off as these are unaffected by excise tax
adjustment. An attempt to increase the excise tax on beer was discarded as
beer is tax on value rather than alcohol content and was 320 baht per litre more
than excise tax on distilled liquor. Moreover, the alcohol content in beer is
lower than that of distilled liquor or white spirits. From excise tax
adjustment reason, consumers may shift from distilled liquor to beer and
cause beer consumption, and thus, demand for beer packages to grow.
Thai consumers are more health conscious over the past few years and
cause green tea and fruit juice to tap into the market share of soft drink.
Research Center of Krung Thai Bank indicated that growth in soft drink
industry decreased continuously over the past three years. Soft drink
production decreased by 2.70% and 24.80% in 2006 and 2005 respectively.
However, in 2007, soft drink production is predicted to grow by 2.60% and may
cause demand for soft drink packages to grow as well.
In the export market, TBC major customers are based in ASEAN and
India. Based
1
on CIA World Fact Book , ASEAN countries with increasing GDP growth rate
included Malaysia with 5.20% in 2006 and 5.90% in 2007 and Laos with a GDP
growth rate of 7.30% in 2006 and 7.40% in 2007. ASEAN countries with
decreasing GDP growth rate included Cambodia and Vietnam, especially Cambodia
with a GDP growth rate of 13.40% in 2006, and 7.20% in 2007, and Vietnam with
a GDP growth rate of 8.50% in 2006, and 8.20% in 2007. However, India had an
increase in GDP growth rate from 8.40% in 2006 to 9.20% in 2007.
There are a few factors that adversely affect aluminum can industry.
For one thing,there is no primary aluminum industry that produces aluminum
foils or sheets from ingots.Therefore, aluminum sheets have to be imported.
In addition, Research Center at Kasikorn Bank indicated that a surge in
aluminum price is caused by an rapid boost in the demand for aluminum in
China, which represents 20% of the world demand for aluminum. Moreover, a
stock of goods ahead and the weakening US dollar has led hedge funds to
speculate in the
commodity futures market, and thus, causes aluminum price to rise as well.
Such irregular aluminum price surge would unavoidably adversely affect
industries that use aluminum as raw material.
1
Source: www.cia.gov
24
World Demand for Aluminum (million Tones)
Country 2004 2005 2006 (E)
China 6.20 7.20 8.10
USA 6.60 6.80 7.00
Europe 7.30 7.40 6.80
Other Asia 4.30 4.50 4.70
Japan 2.40 2.40 2.50
CIS 1.00 1.00 1.20
Others 3.30 3.62 3.80
Total 31.10 32.92 34.10
*Source: 1. Macquire Research, October 2005
2. U.S. Geographical Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries,
January 2006
25
- Financial Statement & Financial Ratio
Performance and Financial Status
Thai Beverage Can Company Limited's financial status and performance is as
follows
Consolidated
2004 2005 2006 2007
Asset (Audited) (Audited) (Audited) (Unreviewed)
Current assets
Cash and deposits at 90,576,451 47,635,628 35,516,222 57,613,409
financial institution
Trade accounts 285,359,720 344,035,156 445,312,518 384,647,847
receivable
Can line 2 down payment - - - 151,935,205
Inventories 517,496,738 562,657,512 558,594,073 608,930,962
Other current assets 47,597,694 41,426,123 26,080,399 35,461,105
Total current assets 941,030,603 995,754,419 1,065,503,212 1,238,588,528
Non-current assets
Property, plant and 1,242,303,194 1,225,546,809 1,205,666,462 1,185,878,575
equipment, net
Deferred tax assets 192,826,149 127,079,556 40,763,569 9,339,547
Other non-current assets 3,000 4,500 13,500 13,500
Total non-current 1,435,132,343 1,352,630,865 1,246,443,531 1,195,231,622
assets
Total assets 2,376,162,946 2,348,385,284 2,311,946,743 2,433,820,150
26
Consolidated
Liabilities and 2004 2005 2006 2007
shareholders' equity (Audited) (Audited) (Audited) (Unreviewed)
Current liabilities
Short-term loans from 215,000,000 425,000,000 - 230,000,000
financial institutions
Trade accounts payable 602,801,165 515,777,895 708,029,631 763,581,121
Current portion of long-term - - 250,000,000 130,000,000
loans from financial
institutions
Short-term loans and 56,843,625 - - -
advances from
related parties
Machinery Payable 25,243,226 2,867,226 - 10,458,147
Other current 43,326,805 38,369,511 55,543,053 41,735,925
liabilities
Total current 943,214,821 982,014,632 1,013,572,684 1,175,775,193
liabilities
Non-current liabilities
Long-term loans from - 250,000,000 - -
financial institution
Total non-current liabilities - 250,000,000 - -
Total liabilities 943,214,821 1,232,014,632 1,013,572,684 1,175,775,193
Shareholders' equity
Share capital
Authorized share 1,500,000,000 1,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 1,000,000,000
capital
Issued and paid-up 1,500,000,000 1,000,000,000 1,000,000,000
1,000,000,000 capital
Retained Earning (Deficit)
Appropriated
Legal Reserve - - 6,000,000 20,000,000
Unappropriated -67,051,875 116,370,652 292,374,059 238,044,956
Total shareholders'1,432,948,125 1,116,370,652 1,298,374,059 1,258,044,956
equity
Total liabilities 2,376,162,946 2,348,385,284 2,311,946,743 2,433,820,149
and
shareholders' equity
27
Consolidated
Income Statement 2004 2005 2006 2007
(Audited) (Audited) (Audited) (Unreviewed)
Revenues
Revenue from sales 1,755,403,826 2,172,719,372 2,449,123,613 1,312,758,361
of goods
Other income 18,685,018 21,524,065 9,295,825 6,543,227
Total revenues 1,774,088,844 2,194,243,437 2,458,419,438 1,319,301,588
Expenses
Cost of sale of goods 1,446,662,416 1,741,373,196 1,894,285,214 1,115,778,603
Selling and 150,291,861 194,268,283 207,756,420 81,745,412
administrative
expenses
Total expenses 1,596,954,277 1,935,641,479 2,102,041,634 1,197,524,015
Profit before 177,134,567 258,601,958 356,377,804 121,777,573
interest and
income tax expenses
Interest expense 2,066,699 9,432,838 28,058,410 5,680,115
Income tax expenses 28,377,060 65,746,593 86,315,987 31,424,022
Net profit 146,690,808 183,422,527 242,003,407 84,673,436
Basic earning per share 0.98 1.23 2.42 1.69*
*Annualized
28
Financial Ratio of TBC
Consolidated
Financial Ratio 2004 2005 2006 30 Jun 07
(Audited) (Audited) (Audited) (Unreviewed)
Liquidity Ratio
Current Ratio (Times) 1.00 1.01 1.05 1.05
Quick Ratio (Times) 0.40 0.40 0.47 0.51
Operating Cash Flow to Current
Liabilities Ratio (Times) NA 0.16 0.60 0.19
Account Receivable NA 6.90 6.21 6.33
Turnover (Times)*
Receivable Days (Days) * NA 52.14 58.01 56.90
Inventory Turnover (Times) * NA 3.22 3.38 3.82
Inventory Days * NA 111.65 106.54 94.17
Account Payable NA 3.11 3.10 3.03
Turnover (Times)*
Payable Days (Days) * NA 115.62 116.29 118.70
Cash Cycle (Days) * NA 48.17 48.27 32.37
Profitability Ratio
Gross Profit Margin (%) 17.59% 19.85% 22.65% 15.01%
Operating Profit Margin (%) 9.03% 10.91% 14.17% 8.78%
Cash to Profit Ratio (Times) 2.01 0.64 1.73 1.76
Net Profit Margin (%) 8.27% 8.36% 9.84% 6.42%
ROE (%) * NA 14.39% 20.04% 13.25%
Efficiency Ratio
ROA (%) * NA 7.76% 10.39% 7.14%
Return on Fixed Asset (%) * NA 20.91% 27.64% 23.40%
Assets Turnover (Times) * NA 0.93 1.06 1.11
Financial Policy Ratio
Debt to Equity Ratio (Times) 0.66 1.10 0.78 0.93
Interest Coverage Ratio (Times) NA 24.17 25.47 42.21
Debt Service Coverage Ratio (Cash basis)
(Times) NA 0.22 0.60 0.47
Dividend Yield (%) 0.00 33% 52% 0.00
*Annualized
29
Financial Status
Assets
Total assets of TBC at the end of the second quarter of 2007 was
2,433.82 million baht, which increased by 121.87 million baht or 5.27% from
that of December 31st, 2006.Current assets increased by 173.09 million baht
while non-current assets decreased by 51.21 million baht.
Current assets as of the first half of 2007 increased by 16.24% from
that of 2006 as cash and deposits at financial institution increased by 22.10
million baht or 62.22% from a faster cash collection period as evidenced by a
decrease in account receivable by 60.66 million baht or 13.62% decline. In
addition, inventory increased by 50.34 million baht or 9.01% from an increase
in the production activity to prepare for sales at year end.
Moreover, TBC made a down payment for the second can line in an amount of
151.93 million baht according to the capacity expansion in 2008. Other current
assets consisted of refundable aluminum purchase VAT net of sales VAT,
unearned discount on purchase of other raw material. In the first half of
2007, other current assets increased by 9.38 million baht while other
non-current assets decreased by 51.21 million baht from that of 2006.
Other non-current assets decreased as a result of a decrease in unamortized
corporate income tax by 31.42 million baht and a decrease in property, plant,
and equipment by 19.79 million baht from depreciation.
Liabilities
As of the second quarter of 2007, total liabilities increased by 162.20
million baht or 16.00% from that of 2006 due to the following reasons. TBC
drew down short-term funding of 230 million baht used as bridge financing for
can line expansion before securing a long-term loan. In addition, account
payable increased by 55.55 million baht or 7.85% while current portion of
long-term debt decreased by 120 million baht or 48%. TBC had no long-term
liabilities.
Shareholders' Equity
TBC Shareholders' equity as of the second quarter of 2007 was 1,258.04
million baht, which decreased by 40.32 million baht or 3.11% from that of
2006 due to the following reasons. Unappropriated retained earnings decreased
by 54.32 million baht which was caused by the net profit of 84.67 million, a
dividend payment of 125 million baht (or 1.25 baht per share according to the
Board of Directors' resolution in March 2007), and an increase in the legal
reserve by 14 million baht. Legal reserve, therefore, increased from 6
million baht in 2006 to 20 million baht at the end of second quarter of 2007.
30
Operating Performance
Revenues
In 2006, TBC had sales revenue of 2,449.12 million baht, which
increased by 276.40 million baht or 12.72% from that of 2005 as TBC developed
new customer base and as the domestic and foreign beverage industry has been
growing. TBC sales revenue peaks in the first and fourth quarters each year as
it moves seasonally following the pattern of sales revenue and promotion
activities of beverage industry. Its major domestic customers include Beer
Thip Brewery (1991) Company Limited (beer Chang manufacturer),
ThaiNamthip Company Limited (Coke manufacturer), and Serm Suk Public Company
Limited (Pepsi manufacturer). TBC major foreign customers include F&N CC
Beverage Sdn. Bhd. (Malaysia), Cambrew (Cambodia), and United Breweries Ltd.
(India).
For the first half of 2007, TBC sales revenue was 1,312.76 million
baht, which increased by 149.14 million baht or 12.82% from that of the same
period of 2006 since TBC expanded its customer base and beverage industry has
been growing in both domestic and international markets.
In addition, other income was 9.30 million baht and 6.54 million baht
in 2006 and the first half of 2007 respectively. Other income included income
from coating and revenue from sales of other materials.Cost of Goods Sold
Cost of goods sold in baht amount increased over the past three years.
In 2006, the cost of goods sold was 2,102.04 million baht, which increased by
166.40 million baht or 8.60% from that of 2005. However, the cost structure,
cost of goods sold as a proportion of sales revenue, decreased continuously
from 82.41%, to 80.15%, to 77.35% in 2004, 2005,and 2006 respectively since
TBC could lock in the lower aluminum price before an upward adjustment.
For the first half of 2007, TBC had a cost of goods sold of 1,175.77
million baht,which increased by 227.53 million baht or 25.62%. The cost of
goods sold as a proportion of sales revenue was 84.99%, which increased from
76.33% of the same period of the previous year. This was because the aluminum
price was less volatile in such period, and therefore, the benefit of locking
into the aluminum price diminished. The operating performance in the first
half of 2007 reflects TBC performance under a normal situation.
Selling and Administration Expenses
Selling and administration expenses consist of freight, travelling
expense, and entertaining expenses, promotion and advertising expenses. In
2006, selling and administration expenses were 207.76 million baht, implying
an increase by 13.49 million baht, or 6.94% from that of last year. As of the
first half of 2007, selling and administration expenses equaled 81.75 million
baht, which decreased by 32.54 million baht or 15.66%
compared to the same period of previous year.
Net Profit
The net profit of TBC increased continuously over the past three
years, which equaled to 146.69 million baht, 183.42 million baht and 242.00
million baht in 2004, 2005,and 2006 respectively. The main factor was because
of an increase in sales revenue, and efficient production cost management
through a stocking of aluminum material before an increase in aluminum price.
31
As of the first half of 2007, TBC generated a net profit of 84.67
million baht, which decreased from that of the same period in the earlier
year. The reason was that there was less fluctuation in aluminum price during
this period. As the result, a stocking of aluminum yield less positive effect
to the cost of goods sold than the previous year, although TBC had higher sale
revenue during the first half of 2007.
Liquidity Analysis
Current Ratio of TBC is quite stable over the past three years,
indicating that the current assets were adequate to cover all current
liabilities.
Cash cycle period of 2006 was close to that of 2005, which equaled to
48.17 and 48.27 days respectively. However, the cash cycle period as of the
first half of 2007 decreased to 32.37 days as TBC could reduce the inventory
days.
Profitability Analysis
TBC's profitability improved continuously from 2004 to 2006. Its gross
profit margin, operating profit margin, net profit margin and ROE increased
significantly. The main factor was that TBC could stock the aluminum before an
increase in the commodity
price during 2004 to 2006 which result in a lower cost of production.
As an increase in aluminum price during three years, TBC gained
significant benefit from stocking raw aluminum material before the upward
price adjustment. As the result, in 2006, TBC could generate particularly high
profit because the aluminum price increased rapidly. However, the aluminum
price had less volatility during first half of 2007, so a stocking of aluminum
did not give much positive effect to the profitability of TBC.Therefore, as of
the first half of 2007, the profitability ratio represented the actual operation
performance of TBC in the normal situation.
Efficiency Analysis
In 2006, ROA and ROFA increased from 2005 obviously, because of an
improvement in the asset management. The management team decided to increase
a stock of aluminum before an increase in aluminum price traded on London
Metal Exchange, so TBC could enjoy a higher net profit while total assets
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